Good morning, this is Sue Burak with the Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center with an avalanche advisory posted on Friday February 22, 2008. MOUNTAIN WEATHER Moderate snowfall will continue this morning before turning to showers by the afternoon. Another 4-6 inches are expected this morning above 8,000 feet. Temperatures will be similar to yesterday with highs at the 8,000-9,000 ft elevations in the mid to upper 20s. Above 10,000 ft, another 6-8 inches of new snow is expected by mid day with high temperatures in the teens to around 20 F. After relatively calm winds yesterday afternoon and evening, southwest winds will pick up today. Expect winds in the 15-25 mph range with gusts to 40 mph at the 9,000 ft elevations. Higher elevations will see gusts up to 60 mph. There is a winter storm watch posted for the Saturday/Sunday storm. There is an extensive moisture plume stretching back from this system to the west-southwest all the way back to the Southwest Pacific. The shortwave associated with this storm intensifies remarkably to become an intense upper level small-scale low. As it approaches tomorrow, southwest flow ahead of the upper level wave will bring some warming to the area with snow levels starting high above 7,500 ft. Snow levels will drop Saturday night but locations like Lee Vining and Toms Place may receive more rain than snow. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION Snowfall began yesterday afternoon with little wind. Skiing in the Mammoth Lakes Basin yesterday afternoon was remarkable for the light winds and also the amount of graupel. This morning, over 14 inches of new snow has accumulated at the 9,000 ft elevation in the Lakes Basin and Mammoth Mountain. Over a foot of new snow has fallen from the Sonora Pass area to Mt. Whitney with Ellery Lake, Rock Creek and South Lake picking up 14 + inches of new snow. Water contents are in the 1 to 1.5 range. Snowfall rates last night were intense in the Rock Creek and Bishop Creek area with 3 inches an hour falling for a period of 4 hours. Winds during the main snowfall part of the storm were relatively calm with gusts in the 30-40 mph range. Strong southwest winds are picking up this morning so expect wind loading on all northern aspects. Winds will continue through today, and wind loading will be occurring all day with a plentiful supply of snow to move around. There are a couple of potential weak layers in the new snow. First, yesterdays new snow was bonding well to old snow surfaces. However, a graupel layer was shearing easily within the new snow. Look for this layer at about 6- 8 down. Pay attention to slopes that feel slabby or punchy- this means dense snow is sitting on top of lighter snow that fell before the winds picked up last night. BOTTOM LINE For today, the avalanche danger rating is CONSIDERABLE on all wind loaded slopes steeper than 35 degrees. Wind loading will be found today on all north facing slopes. The avalanche danger rating today on non wind loaded slopes less than 35 degrees is MODERATE. Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. This advisory is our best interpretation of snow pack conditions and NWS forecasts issued today. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.