Good morning, this is Sue Burak with the Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center with an avalanche advisory posted on Wednesday March 19, 2008. MOUNTAIN WEATHER Under the influence of a weak ridge of high pressure, Tuesdays temperatures climbed 10-15 degrees from Monday with highs at 9,000 to 9,500 ft ranging from 48F to 54 at Mammoth Pass and South Lake. Bishop Pass at 11,200 ft reached 51F yesterday. By this afternoon, skies will become cloudy with slightly cooler high temperatures than yesterday. Morning temperatures at 9,000 ft this morning are in the low 30s with Reno NWS forecasting highs around 37F for today. Southwest winds have already picked up at Mammoth Mountain with gusts to 40 mph at Main Lodge. Elevations above 10,000 ft will see highs in the mid 30s with 20 to 30 mph southwest winds gusting to 60 mph. The Owens Valley and the eastern slopes of the southern Sierra could see strong winds especially just below canyon openings tonight. Windy and cooler conditions are the result of an upper low sitting over Alaska with a jet and moisture plume into the Pacific Northwest. The Oregon/ California (Mt. Shasta) could get over 3 inches of precipitation by the end of the day, however, the moisture never gets farther south. There is no snowfall in the forecast for the rest of the week. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION Despite warmer temperatures and solar radiation maximums above 1000 watts per square meter, north facing slopes above 9,600 ft. still have winter snow. Below 9,600 ft., snow conditions range from high friction surface melt zones around trees that suddenly stop gliding skis. There is still faceted snow at elevations above 10,000 ft., especially on the sides of shaded gullies. One observer reported weak faceted snow in a popular southeast gully. Faceted snow may become a weak layer as spring progresses but this will have to be monitored once spring weather arrives. Though the winds were calm Tuesday morning, southwest winds increased yesterday afternoon, moving snow onto northwest through east facing slopes. As southwest winds pick up later today, the avalanche danger will remain MODERATE in isolated pockets off steep north facing ridgetops. On all other terrain, the avalanche danger rating is LOW. This time of year can be tricky for assessing avalanche danger. There is a winter snowpack at the higher elevations and many sun exposed aspects have a thin melt freeze surface that can vary from frozen to wet in an hour. Elevations from 8,000 to 9,500 ft still have some damp winter snow in sheltered and shaded locations but all other aspects are changing to spring snow. Pay attention to slope aspect and angle on your tours- sometimes a slight change in aspect can mean the difference between a nice corn snow descent and wet snow instability. BOTTOM LINE Though the winds were calm Tuesday morning, southwest winds increased yesterday afternoon, moving snow onto northwest through east facing slopes. As southwest winds pick up later today, the avalanche danger will remain MODERATE in isolated pockets off steep north facing ridgetops. On all other terrain, the avalanche danger rating is LOW. The avalanche danger rating is LOW on southern aspects this morning and may rise to MODERATE this afternoon. . Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. This advisory is our best interpretation of snow pack conditions and NWS forecasts issued today. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.