Good morning, this is Sue Burak with the Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center with an avalanche advisory posted on March 30, 2008. MOUNTAIN WEATHER The weather forecast for a sunny, clear and warmer day changed yesterday afternoon to a 30% chance of snow in the mountains from Lone Pine to the Bridgeport area. Temperatures will fall five to 10 degrees from yesterday with low clouds and gusty west winds at the higher elevations. Isolated snow showers could bring a few more inches of snow today above 10,000 ft after last nights 3-4 inches. Highs at the 9,000 ft elevations will be in the mid 20s with west winds 20-25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Sunday night lows will be in the 15-18F range. Above 10,000 ft, todays highs will be in the upper teens to low 20s with gusty ridgetop west winds to 50 mph. Tonight and Monday night will be cold with temperatures dipping down to the low teens. Monday and Monday night will provide a break from the unsettled weather but by Tuesday, another storm will bring wind, cold and a decent chance of snowfall to the area. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION The lack of precipitation in March is shortening the length of the spring ski season. Despite mostly seasonal temperatures, there has been a steady decline in snowpack depth in March. Mammoth Mountain measured 10.5 inches of snow this month including the 3.5 inches that fell last night and this is a lower March snowfall total than March 2007. The higher elevation ridgetops are mostly wind stripped from the unusually frequent strong winds of the last three months. In some high elevation terrain, unpleasant nieve penitentes are forming. Conditions favorable for the formation of these spikes of compacted snow are long dry periods with no precipitation, dry air, wind and strong insolation. Insolation is the amount of solar radiation a given surface area receives in a given time, for instance, a 24 hour period. Winds over the last few days have been strong enough to collect and deposit new snow drifts onto steep northern aspects in the area from Mammoth north. These wind slabs are small but easily triggered- one party reported kicking off a small slide in the Mammoth to June area yesterday. Skiing and riding conditions right now are variable with mostly frozen surfaces above 9,500 ft. With continued wind and 3 to 6 inches of new snowfall, the avalanche danger rating is MODERATE in steep, high elevation north facing terrain greater than 35 degrees. For all other terrain the avalanche danger rating is LOW. BOTTOM LINE With continued wind and 3 to 6 inches of new snowfall, the avalanche danger rating is MODERATE in steep, high elevation north facing terrain greater than 35 degrees. For all other terrain the avalanche danger rating is LOW. Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. This advisory is our best interpretation of snow pack conditions and NWS forecasts issued today. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.