Good morning, this is Sue Burak with the Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center with an avalanche advisory posted on Monday, April 21, 2008. Special Announcement MOUNTAIN WEATHER After 3 days of wind, cold and no snowfall today will be a few degrees warmer with only breezy winds. Under a flat high pressure ridge this morning, skies are mostly clear and 7 AM temperatures are in the mid teens. After a very brief respite, a spring storm moves into the northern and central Sierra bringing a 50% chance of snow for tomorrow night and Wednesday. Forecasters at the Reno NWS office say this storm will produce the best snowfall since early March. Tuesday will be partly cloudy with another couple of degrees of warming but temperatures fall again on Wednesday with highs in the low 30s at the 9,000 ft elevation. Thursday should be the beginning of a few days of warming temperatures for a good weekend for spring skiing and riding. By tomorrow afternoon, a low pressure system moves into the area bringing a 50% chance of precipitation. A 50% chance of precipitation usually means a few inches of snow on Mammoth Mountain and elevations above 10,000 ft in Mono County. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION A cold air mass and strong winds offset late April solar radiation and snow surfaces above 9,000 ft remained firm over the weekend. Terrain steeper than about 25 degrees did not soften much at all, though spring skiing was great after about 11AM below 9500 ft. With a few inches of snow forecasted, there might be enough snow to fill in the valleys between the ridges of fins that are forming and making skiing unpleasant, especially when the snow surface doesnt soften with the suns energy. Snowpit profiles are similar on west, south and east aspects above 9,000 ft. There is a knife hard ice layer that ranges from 3 to 5 inches thick. Underneath is a disturbing moist layer that can be up to a meter deep. This is moist, fine grained faceted snow that you can stick your fingers. There are globs of ice in this layer; a sign that surface melt was beginning to make its way down to the bottom of the pack, probably during the warm temperatures and clear skies of a weekend ago. Reports from the back side of the Palisades, Mather Pass and Taboose Pass indicate similar snowpack layering and firm skiing conditions over the weekend. Once spring finally arrives in the high country, the snowpack layering could become a serious problem. As long as the weather remains winter like, with little surface melting, the avalanche danger rating remains LOW. This could change by Thursday if 6 inches or more of snowfall occurs with the upcoming storm. BOTTOM LINE The avalanche danger rating today is LOW. Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. This advisory is our best interpretation of snow pack conditions and NWS forecasts issued today. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.