Good morning, this is Sue Burak with the Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center with an avalanche advisory posted for Saturday April 26, 2008. MOUNTAIN WEATHER Enjoy the pleasant spring weather the next two days because the weather pattern is going to change again. The warming trend continues today with gusty north winds developing later today and for Sunday. Highs today will reach the upper 40s to low 50s above 10,000 ft. North winds will be light, increasing to gusts of 30 mph over the ridge tops by the afternoon. Low temperatures are also rising, especially below 10,000 ft which may not get a good freeze on Saturday night. Sunday afternoon will be windy as the high pressure ridge that has given us spring weather, moves east. By Monday, winds continue and temperatures begin to fall. Another dry storm is on the way for mid week and will be accompanied by strong winds. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION Daytime highs have jumped almost 20 F since Wednesday. Night time lows have increased 6 to 10 degrees F but most mountain locations above 10,000 ft were getting a good solid night time freeze until this morning. Today will be day three of warmer temperatures, calm winds and smoky skies. I have not seen surface melt water penetrating through the knife hard ice lens that is just below the snow surface. As long as night time temperatures remain several degrees below freezing for most of the night, the danger from wet slides is much less than if night time temperatures dont get below freezing. When the snowpack does not have a good freeze, instability begins earlier in the day. Once melt water finally reaches the fine textured winter snow under the ice lens, the mechanical strength of the snow will decrease and wet avalanches can occur. On north aspects, this process is starting to happen at higher elevations but in general, snow conditions remain winter like. Snowpits done in the higher elevations of South Lake and Rock Creek did not show water making its way through the ice lens. Alternating periods of cold and warm weather have delayed spring melt- good for a long ski season but prolongs the wet snow avalanche cycle suspense for the forecaster. As the day progresses, look for clues of instability especially close to gully walls and rock outcrops. Wet, slushy snow and sun balls are signs of unstable snow and its time to move off or out from under slopes or cornices. With warmer night time temperatures and clear sunny skies today, the danger of wet slides may rise to MODERATE on steep east, south and west slopes above 9,600 ft. BOTTOM LINE With warmer night time temperatures and clear sunny skies today, the danger of wet slides may rise to MODERATE on steep terrain above 9,600 ft. All aspects are suspect, including north facing slopes. Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. This advisory is our best interpretation of snow pack conditions and NWS forecasts issued today. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.