Good morning, this is Sue Burak from the Inyo National Forest Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center with the avalanche advisory for Tuesday, February 10, 2009. Tim Villanueva and I will present an avalanche awareness evening at the White Mountain Research Station at 6 PM this Wednesday night. This is a free event. MOUNTAIN WEATHER After a cold clear night, expect mostly sunny skies this morning until the late afternoon. Today is the first and last day of mostly sunny skis and clear, dry weather before unsettled weather returns to the eastern Sierra. Below average temperatures, clouds and snow showers will continue through the end of the week. Elevations above 9,500 ft will continue to see daytime highs in the mid to upper teens. High elevation low temperatures will remain cold and in the single digits. Mid elevations from 8,000 to 9,000 ft will have unsettled weather through the week with below normal temperatures. High temperatures will be in the upper 20s and lows will be in the low to mid teens. A cold air mass over our area will stick around for the week. This means the storms forecasted to affect our area will be cold with low snowlines, though little snow accumulation is expected. Gusty north and northwest winds will affect the higher terrain from Tioga Pass to the Bishop Creek area today. Gusts could reach 45 mph over the higher terrain. Winds will shift to the west later tonight and will be from the southwest on Wednesday as a weak storm passes north of us. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION Surface winds in the Mammoth area above 9,000 ft died down yesterday afternoon, while strong west winds plagued the ridgetops in the Mammoth Basin and the Sherwins. Southeast and east facing slopes in the mountains in the Tioga Pass and June Mountain area were wind loaded by many hours of strong northwest winds. Farther south, strong northwest winds moved snow onto high elevation southerly terrain in the high mountains west of Bishop. The southern Sierra picked up 10 to 12 inches of snow in a short time on Saturday night and another 4-6 inches was reported Monday morning. Avalanche conditions are dangerous due to strong winds and plenty of new snow to move around. One observer reported a slab avalanche occurred early Monday afternoon on the Solar Bowl at the northern end of the Negatives. The southeast facing slopes had been wind loaded all day with snow transported by strong northwest winds. The crown was 2-3 feet and the slide ran over 1,000 ft. The main avalanche story is the wind. The Sierra is known for wind loading being the major factor in recent avalanche fatalities. Wind speeds have been strong enough to transport snow onto lee slopes below exposed ridgetops and in open areas in the trees. Yesterdays wind loading mostly occurred on northeast and east facing terrain in the Mammoth Lakes Basin. The Tioga Pass and June Mountain areas had strong northwest winds that loaded east and southeast terrain. Strong northwest winds loaded east and southeastern aspects above 9,500 ft in the Bishop Creek area. Before jumping onto steep exposed slopes and gullies, take a minute or two and figure out where the wind came from and look for signs of wind loading such as deep pockets of wind transported snow, scouring and cornices. Avoid convex pillows of wind deposited snow and dont ski under big cornices. Also, remember the deep weak layer at the base of the snowpack and the weak snow sitting on top of the lens formed during the end of January storm. The distribution of the January layer varies over the forecast area and has been found the most active in open glades at mid elevations on north facing slopes. BOTTOM LINE The avalanche danger rating today is CONSIDERABLE above 9,500 ft on steep east to southeast facing slopes in the Tioga Pass and June Mountain areas. There is a CONSIDERABLE danger rating for mainly northwest to northeast facing slopes above 9,500 ft in the Mammoth Lakes Basin. There are variable avalanche conditions parties should do careful route finding and put one person at a time on a slope during ascents and descents in avalanche terrain. There is a MODERATE danger rating for the Bishop Creek area. The MODERATE danger rating applies to southerly slopes with a previous snowpack, which means the MODERATE danger rating is very localized up Bishop Creek. Below 9,500 ft in the Tioga to Mammoth areas, the danger rating is MODERATE in all wind loaded terrain steeper than 35 degrees. The MODERATE danger rating means there are locally unsafe conditions so use good travel habits to minimize your risk. . Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. This advisory is our best interpretation of snow pack conditions and NWS forecasts issued today. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.