Good Morning, this is Sue Burak from the Inyo National Forest Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center with an avalanche advisory for Thursday February 19, 2009. The avalanche danger rating is only a starting point. YOU CONTROL YOUR OWN RISK by choosing where and when you travel. MOUNTAIN WEATHER Sunny and clear skies will continue until the weekend. There will be an absence of strong winds in the mountains the next few days. Expect highs in the 40s at the 8,000 to 9,000 ft elevations through the end of the week. Higher elevations will be in the low 30s but will feel warmer because the suns energy is increasing as we head towards spring. Nights will continue to be cold in the mountains and lows will be in the mid teens. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION The snowpack conditions are variable across the Bishop Creek to June Lake area. Around Mammoth and June, the storms dropped around 30 to 40 of new snow since Monday. Avalanche activity varied depending on location. South of Mammoth, loose snow avalanches run up to 1,000 feet on steep east facing slopes. These avalanches tended to start around rocky outcrops. Slab avalanche debris from last weeks storms was visible near the bottom of many bowl shaped starting zones. Many loose snow avalanches occurred on the Sherwins and Lakes Basin and slab avalanche debris was observed near wind loaded starting zone. There were several very recent wind slab avalanches that pulled out in short steep wind loaded and crossloaded terrain features in the Lakes Basin. In the June Lake area, there is a very reactive rain/snow layer not far above the ground. Below the June Mountain Mid Chalet this layer is about 8 inches above the ground in a 3 ft snowpack. There is some potential for large human triggered slides on this layer outside of the ski area. A large natural slab avalanche released in the Negatives sometime Wednesday morning, many hours after snowfall ended. The Negatives have been windloaded from west winds for days. The crown of the avalanche propagated across the bowl with the crown and flanks estimated in the 4-5 foot range. Despite several days of ski cutting and hand charging on the lower part of June Mountain below the Mid Chalet, a snowboarder triggered a slide Wednesday. The sliding layer was the hard rain/snow layer of late January and the slide ran on well developed faceted snow sitting on top of the rain/snow layer. After this human triggered slide occurred in bounds in an area previously controlled with hand charges and ski cutting, you could probably trigger a slide on a similar slope, elevation and aspect outside of the ski area. Look at the slope you want to ski today- if the slope has not avalanched, remember how much wind loaded snow is on the slope. Think of a good reason other than the snow looks good to give your party or partner why you should ski the slope. BOTTOM LINE For the June Lake backcountry. The avalanche danger rating for north and east facing slopes in alpine areas is CONSIDERABLE. The avalanche danger rating for north and east facing slopes in steep trees below 9,000 ft is CONSIDERABLE. Natural avalanches are possible and human triggered avalanches are probable. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully and use good travel habits to minimize risk. In the Mammoth Lakes Basin and Sherwins, stability in the storm snow will rise with time and increasing solar radiation over the next few days. Watch out for sensitive wind slabs in all wind loaded alpine areas, particularly just off ridgelines and on convex rollovers on slopes steeper than 35 degrees in northeast and east facing terrain. The avalanche danger rating for the Mammoth area is CONSIDERABLE in isolated steep wind loaded terrain above treeline. In mid elevations trees and glades, the avalanche danger rating is MODERATE which means there are locally unsafe conditions. Use good travel habits to minimize the risk. Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. This advisory is our best interpretation of snow pack conditions and NWS forecasts issued today. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.