Good morning, this is Sue Burak from the Inyo National Forest Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center. Join us tonight at the June Lake Community Center at 6 PM for an evening of avalanche talks and presentations. Eric Diem will provide details of the inbounds avalanche action earlier this week. MOUNTAIN WEATHER The mountains above 9000 ft in Mono County could get 2 feet of new snow by Tuesday morning. Snow levels will be quite high due to the influence of subtropical plume of moisture. The eastern slopes of the Sierra from Pine Creek south to Mt. Whitney could see damaging high winds on Monday. For the 8,000 to 9,000 ft elevations today, highs will be in the low 40s. Windy and partly cloudy to cloudy skies have returned to our area. Expect southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35mph in the afternoon. Higher elevations will be cooler with highs today in the low 30s. Winds will be stronger with southwest winds 15 to 25 mph gusting to 40 mph. By Sunday night, it will be windy with southwest wind gusts to 70 mph over the ridgetops. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION Recent natural avalanche activity occurring today and yesterday north and south of Mammoth along with a report of a skier triggered slide in the Bishop Creek drainage, are red flags telling me the snowpack is unstable in localized areas. The trick is to figure out where the instability is in the area you are skiing or riding so use the terrain to your advantage. There are two weak layers in the pack, there has been control work that released large avalanches earlier this week and there has been recent natural activity. Sensible people should be suspicious of wind loaded slopes in steep alpine terrain and in steep areas where the snowpack is shallow. The snow is unpredictable right now. The message today is do nothing in haste. When you look at snow on a slope, you cannot see the constant gliding, creeping and settling going on within the snowpack. Deciding whether a slope is safe to ski is an ongoing process, not a single event that happens when you point your skis or board down the slope. Carefully select your route. Have only one person on a steep slope at a time, and have an escape plan. With a mid-winter pack, there are always a few isolated places where a larger or deeper slide could be triggered. It is better to make a mistake on the safe side. Avoid slopes that are steeper than 35 degrees. The snow is under tension when the slope gets steeper over a convex roll. If a portion of a slope looks wind loaded or has a chalky appearance or a drum like sound, find another line to ski. Just because there is an uptrack or tracks does not mean the slope cannot slide. BOTTOM LINE For today, the avalanche danger rating is estimated to be MODERATE above treeline but there are localized pockets of CONSIDERABLE danger in steep north to east facing terrain. Uncertainty is high and requires conservative decision making. Natural avalanches are possible and a person could trigger an avalanche especially along rocky outcrops and along the sides of cross loaded gullies. At the middle elevations in north to east facing trees, the avalanche danger is MODERATE- this means there are locally unsafe slopes where it is possible to trigger an avalanche. With the Sunday/Monday storm bringing possible heavy rain to slopes below 8,500 ft., the avalanche danger will increase. The most dangerous time when it rains is the first few hours of rain. It is unlikely that rainfall will move all the way through 5-10 ft of snow, but special caution will be necessary in areas where the snowpack is shallow, especially when snowlines are above 7,500 ft. Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.