Good morning, this is Sue Burak with the Inyo National Forest Eastern Sierra Avalanche with the avalanche advisory for Thursday, March 5, 2009. MOUNTAIN WEATHER We will see mostly sunny skies and calmer winds today. Scattered snow showers will occur over the highest terrain along the Sierra Crest and temperatures will be cold with highs in the middle teens. Southwest winds will gust up to 30 mph. Daytime temperatures will be a little warmer at middle elevations with highs close to 30 F at the 8,000 to 9,000 ft elevations. West winds will pick up Friday along with a chance for snow showers. Weekend storms should affect far northern areas. The longer range outlook is dry. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION After a very windy weekend, Sunday nights storm came in with rain and high snow levels. Up to 2 inches of water came with 8 to 14 inches of new snow. The resulting layer resembles the end of January lens with a slippery sliding surface and small faceted snow forming above and below the layer. New dense snow quickly formed a cohesive slab and control work on June Mountain released many 1 to 2 foot slab avalanches. Graupel was found in and above this storm snow and is a potential weak layer within the storm snow, especially above the March 2 rain/snow lens. Graupel does not fragment and pack as easily as other snow grains and will keep its rounded form for up to a week when buried. Snowfall on Tuesday and yesterday was accompanied by relentless southwest winds screaming along with 100 mph plus gusts recorded on the top of Mammoth Mountain and Mt. Warren. Exposed wind prone areas like Ellery Lake and Lake Sabrina got hammered by gusts over 50 and 60 mph. It is hard to imagine the amount of snow that was blown onto north and east facing terrain in the trees and above treeline. The subtropical influence of the storms and southerly flow kept snow densities well above 10%. The primary avalanche concern today is wind loading. Yesterdays snowpack tests in Rock Creek released cleanly and easily on graupel and on the recent rain layer of March 2. Both north and west slopes were tested with similar results. The higher elevations of Rock Creek received only a foot of new snow compared to the 3 to 4 feet received in locations around and north of Mammoth. Natural avalanches are possible today and human triggered avalanches are probable. Give yourself a little more margin for error than you normally might, use routes, travel techniques, and group management practices that minimize the time people are exposed to potentially unstable slopes. The secondary avalanche concern is the recently buried rain/snow layer resulting from the wet snow that fell Sunday night and Monday. This layer has faceted snow grains above and below the layer. There are also deeper buried layers but the recent layer has the greatest potential for skier triggering. BOTTOM LINE For today, easily triggered, widespread wind slabs are likely on all north to east facing slopes at mid to high elevations. Exposed open areas in the trees are likely to have wind slabs. The avalanche danger rating is CONSIDERABLE in all wind loaded terrain with slope angles steeper than 35 degrees. The avalanche danger rating is MODERATE on all other aspects. Safe travel depends on paying close attention to obvious clues, especially whumpfing, shooting cracks and recent or current avalanches. For the Rock Creek to Bishop Creek area, there is a CONSIDERABLE danger rating today for all wind loaded terrain above treeline. Skier triggered avalanches in storm snow could step down to weak faceted snow above the ground. There is a MODERATE danger rating for slopes less than 35 degrees. It is possible a skier could trigger a slab in new snow that could step down to the weak faceted snow above the ground. Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires in 24 hours. Backcountry travelers should be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations. Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles should be made.