FALL AVALANCHE STATEMENT updated December 4^th, 2007. Upcoming Events: Wednesday, December 5: Film Night With Friends - A fundraiser put on by Friends of the Mt. Shasta Avalanche Center with 2 great movies at the Wayside Grill. Doors open 6pm and movies begin at 7pm. $8 entry Note: The Everitt Memorial Highway is plowed to Bunny Flat, however it is closed past here for the season. Climate experts continue to observe moderate "La Nina" conditions in the Pacific Ocean. This usually means cold and wet conditions for the Pacific Northwest and dry conditions for the south and southwest. Mt. Shasta often benefits during La Nina conditions, but sometimes the wet weather stays north. Moderate La Nina conditions are expected to continue over the next few months into at least early2008. With funding from the Friends of the Mt. Shasta Avalanche Center, Snowdog Engineering was able to upgrade the communication system for the Mt. Eddy weather station and do some maintenance at all of the other weather stations this Fall. However, we recently had lightning damage to our main radio which has prevented communication with all of our weather stations. We are still diligently working on repairing this problem. Matt Hill, one of the founders of the Mt. Shasta Avalanche Center, has moved on and his position does not look like it will be filled this winter. With only 1 forecaster, we will provide avalanche advisories 3-4 days a week this winter instead of daily. Your input and observations of weather and snow pack are needed more than ever this winter! (530)926-9614 Mountain Weather: Precipitation so far this water year (July 1 - June 30) has dropped to just below normal (~80% in town). Around 8 inches of water (3+ in the last storm) has fallen on the mountain this fall with both rain and snow. This last storm as of December 3^rd brought us some very high winds and approximately 10 inches of snow at Bunny Flat (6,900 feet) which was rained on and settled down to around 6 inches. We will begin providing avalanche advisories 3-4 days a week when we have significant snowfall. Fall/winter are often a time of strong winds on Mt. Shasta and most climbers recently have been forced to retreat. <> Some things to consider: Backcountry travelers should make terrain, weather and snow pack evaluations as they travel over snow covered terrain. Remember that seemingly insignificant slides may be dangerous. Almost half of all avalanche fatalities occur in slides traveling less than 300 feet. Fall Season Watch Outs! * Surface sluffs and wind slabs * Shallowly buried rocks and trees can cause serious damage or injury. * Sink holes around brush and small trees can be dangerous. * Snow bridges over crevasses can be touchy and unsupportable. * Shallow snowpack with cold air temperatures can produce unstable snow <>These are just a few things you should watch out for when traveling during the early part of the winter season. The Five Red Flags of Avalanche Danger any time of year include: 1) Recent/current avalanche activity 2) Whumpfing sounds or shooting cracks 3) Recent/current heavy snowfall 4) Strong winds transporting snow 5) Rapid warming or rain on snow.