Eastern Sierra Avalanche Bulletin
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Eastern Sierra avalanche advisory
Posted February 7, 2010 by Josh Feinberg
Updated February 6, 2010 - 11:19 pm
February 7, 2010: Moderate
February 8, 2010: Moderate
Todays Avalanche Danger rating is estimated to remain at with
areas of in wind loaded areas above tree line from North
to East Aspects. Moderate winds above tree line have recently changed
to veer more out of the North, which could result in wind loading on
southern aspects throughout the day at higher elevations.
High water content of the 6-12" of new snow along with lots of energy
directed into the snowpack from the clouds and the storm, helped
yesterdays' new snow to bond fairly well to the old snow surface
throughout most of the region, especially below tree line and areas
where the winds were light.
Observations:
North Lake: Parties skiing in alpine terrain on Saturday above North
Lake reported no natural avalanche activity and stability tests in
north facing terrain produced hard results on the old/new snow
interface. These stability tests represent tiny points on one slope.
Red Mountain: A party skiing Red Mountain yesterday reported several
loud woomphs and some small shooting cracks, enough to make them to
feel safer turning around early.
Mammoth Area: Test pits and ski cuts yesterday on steep slopes from
8,000 - 10,000' on Punta Bardini in open and confined terrain features
revealed no instabilities in that area. However, Mammoth Mountain Ski
Patrol reported wide spread avalanche activity during yesterday's
explosive control activity with crowns on the upper mountain ranging
from 10" to several feet.
June Mountain: June Mountain Ski Patrol reported minimal results in
area control operations.
Conclusion
Overall where wind loading was not significant the new snow seems to
have bonded fairly well to the underlying snow. However, as Mammoth
control operations revealed, NE wind loaded slopes about 10.500' were
very capable of sliding given the right trigger in the right spot. Some
areas south of Mammoth with shallow snowpack were exhibiting signs of
instability. From these observations we can conclude that variability
exists across the forecast region. The danger rating means
human triggered avalanche are possible. Using ski tests and stability
tests and knowing how to interpret the results will give you a better
chance of avoiding a nasty ride. Keep your eyes open out there and
continue to use careful slope assessment.
After receiving new snow overnight, the winter weather advisory expired
at 4 AM this morning. After several days of southwest and west winds,
winds have veered to the north as the small scale feature that brought
upslope showers last night moved east.
North winds and scattered snow showers will continue for the next few
days. Today will be cold and windy above treeline with gusts to 35 mph.
Highs will only reach the 20F mark. With cloud cover, nights won't cool
off more than about 5-8 degrees to the low to mid teens. Elevations
from 8,000 to 10,000 feet will see less north winds and highs in the
mid to upper 20's. Lows will be in 12-15F range.
By Tuesday, a cold but not very strong storm passes quickly over the
area. The track of this cold storm is difficult to predict and the low
sets up north or west of us more than 50 miles, will make the
difference between getting 6-10" of new snow or nothing. The best
chance for significant precipitation could occur by the end of the
week.
Please note that the avalanche danger rating in this advisory expires
in 24 hours. This advisory is our best interpretation of snow pack
conditions and NWS forecasts issued today. Backcountry travelers should
be aware that elevation and geographic distinctions are approximate and
that a transition zone exists between upper and lower elevations.
Avalanches do not happen by accident and most human involvement is a
matter of choice not chance. Most avalanche accidents are caused by
slab avalanches that are triggered by the victim of member of the
victim's party. Even small slides can be dangerous. Always practice
route finding skills and carry avalanche rescue gear. Remember that
avalanche danger ratings are only general guidelines. Distinctions
between geographic areas, elevations, slope aspects and slope angles
should be made.
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