This is Janet Kellam of the Sawtooth National Forest Avalanche Center with your Backcountry Avalanche Advisory and Weather Forecast for Saturday, December 22, 2007 at 7:30 am. The Sawtooth Society in partnership with Idaho's SNRA Mountain Goat license plate program & the Friends of the Sawtooth Avalanche Center bring you this advisory. Bottom Line: Today the avalanche danger is estimated to be MODERATE with areas of CONSIDERABLE danger on slopes approximately 35 degrees or steeper. We have an extremely variable snowpack. Considerable danger will be found where we have one of several different conditions. In the Central and South Valley it will be steep, wind loaded slopes with very weak snow beneath 1-2 feet of recent snowfall and wind blown snow. In the North Valley and other outlying regions with a deeper overall snowpack, the greatest danger will be in high alpine terrain or beneath exposed ridgelines where wind loaded slopes are found or in very steep, rocky areas where weak and punchy snow lies beneath our recent snowfall. There is also a concern for soft surface slabs of 8 to 10 inches or more of recent snow which may still be triggered on very steep terrain. Isolated reports indicate these soft slabs may be much deeper and more widespread in the Sawtooth Mountains. Primary Avalanche Concern: Yesterday morning an extensive new avalanche cycle from Thursday night's wind event was visible in high alpine terrain in the Boulder Mountains. Other regions may also have been affected, especially further north where we have received more new snow. Wind slabs along Titus Ridge did not appear to be very sensitive yesterday and the fresh wind deposits may have gained strength. Id still urge caution in any steep wind loaded area. The slabs may be soft or hard. The distance some of these avalanches propagated indicates faceted snow may be involved beneath the newer snow and continued caution is the recommended action for steep terrain. A couple natural slides released yesterday afternoon up the south fork of Soldier Creek and were reported by Soldier Mtn Ski Patrol. They appeared to be caused by additional wind loading and a cornice breaking off. Secondary Avalanche Concern: Throughout the Central and South Valley, and in isolated areas where we have deeper snowpacks, very weak snow lies at the base of the snowpack. Especially in steep, rocky terrain. It remains possible to trigger a slide on steep slopes with this condition. I did not trigger any slides yesterday along Titus Ridge, but I did have one smaller, weak slope crack and collapse over a foot deep into this weak layer. Reports from the Sawtooths and Williams yurt indicate more than 2 feet of newer snow is poorly bonded to an ice crust. Avalanches observed in this area are breaking at the deeper ice layer and within the newer snow. Collapsing and whumphing of the snowpack continued yesterday in this area. WEEKEND NOTES: Conditions are improving in some deeper snowpack areas, but due to such a variable snowpack & uncertainty as to overall stability, evaluate each area and slope you travel to on a case by case basis. Safe travel protocol is essential with these conditions. One person on a slope at a time, carry rescue gear and be able to perform a fast, successful rescue. Current Conditions: Soft and more supportive powder conditions exist in sheltered areas. Slopes exposed to the north and west are now wind crusted. Sunny aspects are staying soft. Trail breaking is still deep but not as difficult. The wind stayed out of the northwest, averaged only 10mph but stronger gusts did continue to transport snow along and beneath exposed ridgelines. Upper elevation weather stations show some gusting 20-25mph this morning. Temperatures remained quite cool all day yesterday. This morning upper elevations are warmer than the valley floor with Baldy reporting 17 degrees on top. Titus is 5 degrees the valley floor is minus 4 and Stanley minus 14. Mountain Weather Forecast: Today, the Winter Solstice, promises to be a very nice day. A clear morning should turn into high clouds as a weak weather system brings a chance of light overnight snow, an inch at most. Sunday night and Monday a winter storm is expected to bring more snow and wind. Temperatures will be warmer today. Early morning temperatures at upper elevations are already the 24 hour high. Expect to see temperatures rising over 20 degrees on Baldy and near 30 degrees on the valley floor. Winds will be light out of the northwest but there may be gusts in the teens & around 20mph at high elevations. Sorry-No audio today on the internet, sound problems.