Cyberspace Snow and Avalanche Center Sun Valley Avalanche Bulletin


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This bulletin is from the Sawtooth National Forest Avalanche Center in Idaho.

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This information only applies to the backcountry and does not apply to highway programs or operating ski areas. Changing conditions and local variations may occur.

Keywords: ; CONSIDERABLE ; MODERATE ; avalanche danger; collapsing ; consolidated; cross loading; crusts; faceted; human triggered; inversion; leeward ; natural; natural avalanches; powder ; slab; sluffs; surface hoar; weak layers; wet slide; wet slides; wind drifted; wind loading; wind slabs;

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This is Janet Kellam of the Sawtooth National Forest Avalanche Center with your Backcountry Avalanche Advisory and Weather Forecast for Tuesday, March 16, 2010 at 7:30 am.

Bottom Line by Region:

North Wood River Valley: Today the avalanche danger is estimated to be MODERATE with areas of CONSIDERABLE danger on steep slopes approximately 35 degrees or greater. Several avalanche problems exist: Wind loading along exposed slopes and ridgelines at mid to upper elevations has produced some natural avalanches the past two days.

Human triggered slides are still a concern for wind affected areas.

On east, north and northwest aspects one to two feet of snow has accumulated on weak faceted February snow and surface hoar. Although isolated to only some slopes, it remains possible to trigger a slide on these layers. They are most commonly found in the western Smoky Mountains and out Baker Creek, but it is important to continue to look for and avoid slopes with these weak layers throughout our region.

The danger of triggering a wet slide on steep, sunny aspects will increase with daytime heating. Temperatures promise to get very warm today. Upper elevations remained warmer than the valley bottoms last night so they will heat up faster.

South & Central Wood River Valley: Today the avalanche danger is estimated to be CONSIDERABLE on steep, cooler aspects. About a foot of recent snow sits on top of weak faceted February snow and surface hoar.

Continued reports of collapsing and shooting cracks on north and east facing slopes in this region indicate poor stability.

Recent wind loading is also a concern; a skier triggered slide behind Woodside is evidence of wind blown snow cross loading at mid elevation and bonding poorly to the old snow surfaces.

MODERATE danger exists on warmer aspects this morning, but the danger of triggering wet slides on steep slopes will increase with daytime heating.

Salmon Headwaters & Sawtooth Mountains: In the Salmon Headwaters the avalanche danger is estimated to be CONSIDERABLE on steep shaded slopes. One and one half to two feet of snow sits on top of weak faceted February snow and surface hoar and it is still possible to trigger slides on this layer. Strong winds and light snow over the weekend have added to this slab and in some cases in exposed locations new wind slabs are poorly bonded to the underlying snow or crusts.

In the Sawtooth Mountains the avalanche danger is estimated to be MODERATE . A more consolidated, stable snowpack exists in this region but isolated wind slabs and lesser amounts of recent snow on the buried weak layers are of concern.

The likelihood of triggering a wet slide on steep, sunny aspects will increase with daytime heating in all parts of this region. Temperatures promise to get very warm today. Upper elevations remained warmer than the valley bottoms last night so they will heat up faster.

Soldier Mountains: We provide the Bottom Line for the Soldier Mountains on Friday, Saturday, and Sundays at 7:30am. Please continue to read the full advisory as the information may be applicable to this region.

Primary Avalanche Concern:

Slides that occurred over the past two days have all been related to some amount of extra wind deposition. Persistent weak layers such as faceted snow and buried surface hoar may be responsible for poor bonding of the wind deposits to the underlying layers, but it seems to be the extra wind drifted snow that increases the likelihood of natural or human triggered slides right now. Larger slides have been observed in places like the head of Eagle Creek, Wilson Creek and Goat Peak in the Boulder Mountains, and I mentioned the skier triggered slide behind Woodside. All of these slides broke out on the leeward side of ridgelines that had wind blown snow.

Persistent Weak Layers: In wind sheltered areas on cooler aspects, the persistent weak layers continue to be a problem and should not be overlooked. In the Central and South Valley, one of our observers reported extensive collapsing and shooting cracks on the north facing slopes out Colorado Gulch. We may think it is March out in the sunshine, but the shady slopes continue to remind us of a cold winter with a shallow snowpack and weak snow. I would be extra cautious in any area with excessively weak snow such as cooler aspects in the Central and South Valley, the side canyons north of Ketchum and in the Pioneer Mountains.

Continue to look for buried surface hoar one to two feet deep in the snowpack on the shady slopes. This layer has been the culprit behind many triggered slides the past few weeks; although gaining strength, it is not gone and can still produce a slide. It is most commonly found on wind sheltered slopes and may be found mid slope even if it is not present on upper portions of the same slope.

Additional Concerns: Upper elevation winds could help to keep things a bit cooler today, but sheltered locations will become quite warm. Id be cautious on the shady aspects with these buried weak layers if it feels unusually warm as it may become easier to trigger a slab avalanche.

Secondary Avalanche Concern:

Very warm temperatures are forecast today. This mornings temperature inversion kept upper elevation near 30 degrees overnight and the strong March sunshine will soften the warmer aspects very quickly. Wet slide conditions are predictable-wet sluffs of the newer snow can be triggered on the old surface crusts as the snow becomes sticky and wet, deeper slides will become possible as the crusts break down with the heat. Once you begin punching into boot deep wet snow, it is time to get off the steeper slopes.

Current Conditions:

A bluebird day is on tap with a few clouds moving in. This mornings temperature inversion has produced cooler temperatures on the valley floors with 23 degrees in Ketchum and 14 degrees in Stanley.

Temperatures at 9,000feet on Baldy and Titus are 27 degrees. Yesterday, temperatures climbed into the mid to upper forties at all elevations.

Southerly winds at upper elevations have increased in speed overnight, blowing 20mph at 7am on Titus and Soldier Mtn. Winds are forecast to be light today, but if they continue to blow they will keep temperatures cooler in exposed areas.

The avalanche conditions may sound complex, but there are some great backcountry options. Sunnier slopes are developing good spring snow conditions which means get on them early as they soften in the sun, get off them before they are wet and sloppy or before you begin punching through surface crusts. If you are searching for powder snow on cooler aspects, moderate slope angles do not pose the risk or require the constant evaluation of slopes steeper than low 30 degree slope angles.

Mountain Weather Forecast:

Temperatures once again will rise into the low forties at upper elevations and could reach 50 degrees on the valley floor. Tonight, temperatures should drop into the mid to upper twenties and increasing clouds will develop over us as a storm system passes to our north.

Expect cloudier skies on Wednesday with continued warm temperatures (but not as hot as today), and a slim chance of light rain and snow showers.

The winds may surprise us today and blow more than expected. The forecast is for southwest winds to remain under 10mph but some of our ridgeline weather stations indicate steady 20mph wind speeds since midnight.

Tip for the Day

We are breaking down the Avalanche Rescue Training Park this Thursday.

Today and tomorrow are great opportunities to get in some practice.

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