*** BACKCOUNTRY AVALANCHE AND MOUNTAIN WEATHER BULLETIN *** Good afternoon, this is Carol Ciliberti with the Forest Service Utah Avalanche Forecast Center with your backcountry avalanche and mountain weather bulletin. This is Sunday, January 18 and it's 3 pm. This information is brought to you in part by a generous donation to the FUAFC from the Evolution Ski Company. Bottom Line: Avalanche warning in effect! Northern, central, and southwestern mountains and the Wasatch Plateau: High avalanche danger at all elevations. Current conditions: Today has been a relatively quiet day in the backcountry, with no new natural activity to report since yesterday's widespread events. Snow surface conditions consist of dense snow with several inches of graupel on top, and plenty of wind affected snow. Reports of turning conditions vary from terrible to pretty good on low angle protected slopes. As of about noon today winds turned to the SW and are light at about 10 mph at most ridgetop locations. Temperatures at the 10,000' level this afternoon are in the mid 20's. Avalanche activity: Yesterday saw alot of avalanche activity, including many large natural slides along the Park City ridgeline and in Big Cottonwood Canyon. Many of these slides broke at the ground or in faceted snow near the ground. Control above the town of Alta resulted in a couple of large slides that reached the road, hitting a building and vehicles. All of the activity I've heard about today has been associated with ski resort and highway control work. The most impressive results were in Provo Canyon, where several large slides ran at least 3000' of vertical, dumping a huge pile of debris across the highway. In mid LCC control work resulted in a couple of large slides which dusted the road. The LCC resorts were getting deep slides on NE and west facing slopes, up to 5' deep and a couple hundred feet wide. One of the Park City resorts had slab releases on N and S facing slopes, pulling out in a light density layer mixed with graupel under a hard wind slab. Avalanche conditions: The avalanche warning remains in effect for the northern Utah mountains, and has been extended to cover the central and southeastern mountains and the Wasatch Plateau. There is a high danger of human triggered avalanches on all slopes approaching 35 degrees in steepness. This means that both human triggered and natural avalanches are likely both in and around steep terrain. The hazard will increase again with strong winds out of the SSW tonight, and heavy snowfall expected tomorrow morning. Winds tonight and early tomorrow will be strong enough to load snow down low in starting zones, with cross loading on a variety of aspects. The saturated snow below about 7,500' will form a slippery bed surface for slides when colder air moves into the area. Another potential failing layer for slides is the large graupel that came down yesterday, which has been pooling in lower angle terrain. Finally, there is a light density layer of snow mixed with graupel buried anywhere from 1-3' deep in the pack under a stiff wind slab. This layer has produced some large slides with control work today, and could be resensitized with wind loading and new snowfall over the next 24 hours. People without very well developed avalanche and route finding skills should avoid backcountry travel tomorrow. Stay away from steep terrain, including terrain traps at the lower elevations like steep gullies and streambeds. Stay well out from under steep slopes and avalanche runout zones. Mountain weather: Increasing clouds tonight and strong SSW winds developing ahead of the next storm system. We'll have sustained winds of 50 mph or more along the most exposed ridgelines with higher gusts likely. It looks like another violent frontal passage coming through around 8 am tomorrow morning, with a good chance of lightning and intense snowfall for a couple of hours behind the front. Light to moderate snowfall should continue through the afternoon, with upper level subsidence cutting things off in the evening. Storm totals should end up at around a foot to 1.5 feet. Temperatures tonight will be near 30 at 8000', cooling down to 20 degrees during the day tomorrow. Tomorrow's highs at 10,000' will be in the mid-teens. The longer range models show the next storm associated with a weak disturbance moving across northern Utah Tuesday night. If you see anything we should know about please leave a message on our answer machine at 524-5304 or 1-800-662-4140. For more detailed information call 364-1591. -To find out where the Wasatch Powderbird Guides will be skiing and to get their schedule, call 521-6040 x 5280. -Comments on the scoping notice analyzing the impacts of issuing a new 5-year permit to WPG need to be received by the SL Ranger District by Jan 30, 1998. The information contained in this bulletin is from the U.S. Forest Service which is solely responsible for its content. This information describes general avalanche conditions, local variations always occur. Seth Shaw will update this bulletin by 7:30 Monday morning. Thanks for calling. Ciliberti