January 28, 2002 Canadian Avalanche Association Bulletin SOUTH COLUMBIA REGION WEATHER: 40-100cm of storm snow has fallen and light amounts continue to accumulate in some areas. Moderate to strong, variable direction winds were reported. Temperatures just started to cool significantly on Sunday, Jan 27. Light precipitation is expected to continue, with temperatures warming. SNOWPACK: There has been significant settlement in the storm snow and generally moderate shears are being seen. This stabilization is less apparent in the northern Purcells, where easy shears in the storm snow persist. A weakening crust is buried 70-150cm deep below 1900m and a couple of surface hoar layers persist as well, down 60-100cm. Shears are generally in the moderate range on all of these layers. Finally, in the Purcells the November crust has just received another big load and may be conducive to triggering by light loads in thinner snowpack areas. Continued light precipitation will keep slowly loading all these instabilities. AVALANCHES: Widespread avalanches to size 3.5 have been reported since the last bulletin. Although natural activity has subsided, large avalanches continue to run with explosive control work. FORECAST OF AVALANCHE DANGER UP TO THURSDAY EVENING (JAN 31) ALPINE - Considerable TREELINE - Considerable BELOW TREELINE - Considerable TRAVEL ADVISORY: There is a wide variability in the south Columbias. Although natural avalanche activity has tapered off, weak layers persist in the top meter of the snowpack. Consider sticking to moderate terrain. Blue skies and good skiing/riding do not mean we can go everywhere! Significant amounts of new snow, strong winds, or a rapid rise in temperatures could cause the danger to quickly increase again.