From bulletin@avalanche.ca Fri Mar 3 19:38:32 2006 Date Issued: March 3, 2006 Valid Until: March 6 South Rockies Region Forecast Area: This forecast includes mountainous areas in the southeast corner of BC and the southwest corner of Alberta. It includes mountain areas in the Elk Valley between Fernie and Elkford, areas east of Canal Flats and Cranbrook, the Crowsnest Pass, and the east side of the Rocky Mountains south of Kananaskis Country. The region does not include Kananaskis Country or Kootenay and Waterton Lakes National Parks. Forecast of avalanche danger beginning Friday, March 3, 2006: Day:\Friday p.m.\Saturday\Sunday\Monday Alpine:\Considerable\Considerable\Considerable\Considerable Treeline:\Considerable\Considerable\Considerable\Moderate Below Treeline:\Moderate\Moderate\Moderate\Moderate Travel Advisory: Days are getting longer now, so give solid consideration to the effects of solar heating as you evaluate terrain choices. Moderate to strong SE winds on Thursday have laid down a stiff wind slab in the alpine and at treeline. This slab often has looser snow below, so it is subject to human triggering, especially at treeline. Generally, things are on a slow trend toward improvement, but it~Rs too soon after the big loading event to start trusting the facets and patchy surface hoar found at the storm snow interface down about 25cm. Try to avoid south facing aspects as they have a fun-inhibiting breakable crust in the mornings and rising avalanche danger in the afternoons due to solar heating. Sticking below treeline to ski and sled in moderately spaced trees, avoiding south aspects, offers a good terrain choice for fun times while managing avalanche risk. Keep an eye out this weekend for the tail end of cornice fall activity from the storm last week! Avalanches: Natural activity tapered off on Thursday, but human triggered events were still occasionally seen around the region Friday. Surface hoar was well developed Friday, and the new snow combined with wind predicted for Sunday and Monday may increase the tendency for human triggering of a soft slab. Snowpack: The storm snow had settled rapidly on Friday, increasing in density and strength slightly. A wind slab is found in the alpine from strong SE winds leading up to the weekend. Surface hoar about 2mm in size found in sheltered areas near treeline and above is expected to survive and be buried Sunday. A sun crust is found on south facing aspects, although this is eroded to moist snow each afternoon. The snowpack has begun to melt at lower elevations on south aspects in some locations. Weather: The weather will be generally cloudy and cool this weekend. Freezing levels will rise to 1200m on Sunday, then begin to fall, reaching 1000m on Monday and valley bottom later in the week. A light dusting of snow Sunday will be covered by a further 10-15cm on Monday. Winds will be moderate out of the SE on Saturday, slowly switching to SW by Sunday. Issued by: Evan Manners