---------------------------------------------------------------- INSTITUTE FOR SNOW AND AVALANCHE RESEARCH DAVOS NATIONAL AVALANCHE BULLETIN NO. 66 for Sunday, 13 January 2008 issue date 12.1.2008, 18:30 hours ---------------------------------------------------------------- HIGH AVALANCHE DANGER REGIONALLY ---------------------------------------------------------------- CURRENT CONDITIONS On Saturday it snowed heavily down to low altitudes in southern regions and in the eastern part of the northern flank of the Alps. On the Main Alpine Ridge from Zermatt to Bergell and south thereof there was 50 to 70 cm of snowfall. In the region extending from the central and eastern parts of the northern flank of the Alps over central Grisons to the Upper Engadine, there was 20 to 40 cm of snow, elsewhere 10 to 20 cm. Midday temperatures at 2000 m were minus 6 degrees in northern regions and minus 4 degrees in southern regions. Stormy southerly winds prevailed to begin with, then slackened off and shifted to northerly. The new snow and the snowdrift are often poorly bonded with the old snowpack. Particularly on the Main Alpine Ridge from the Matterhorn to the Engadine and in Grisons, moreover, the snow overlays a weak old snowpack. SHORT-TERM DEVELOPMENT By Sunday morning another 10 to 15 cm of snow is expected in the Engadine, elsewhere there will be less. During the day it will turn increasingly sunny from the west. Midday temperatures at 2000 m will be between minus 3 degrees in the northwest and minus 6 degrees in the southeast. Light to moderate northerly winds will shift to easterly, then southerly, during the night they will be strong in eastern regions. As the heavy precipitation comes to an end, natural avalanches will diminish. New snow and snowdrift will nevertheless remain highly trigger-sensitive to begin with. AVALANCHE DANGER FORECAST FOR SUNDAY Main Alpine Ridge from the Matterhorn to the Bernina; northern and central Ticino; Calanca valley; Misox; southern Surselva; Schams; Oberhalbstein and St. Moritz: High avalanche danger (Level 4) The avalanche prone locations are found on steep slopes in all aspects above approximately 1500 m. Particularly during the night, natural avalanches are expected which can forge their way to the valley floors. Exposed sectors of transportation will then be put at risk widespread. In outlying terrain away from secured ski runs, highly critical conditions for backcountry skiers and freeriders prevail. Remaining regions of the Swiss Alps: Considerable avalanche danger (Level 3) On the remaining northern flank of the Alps east of the Reuss, in the remaining regions of Grisons and in Sotto Ceneri, the avalanche prone locations are found on steep slopes in all aspects above approximately 1800 m. During the night in particular, small to medium sized, as well as isolated large sized natural avalanches are expected. Isolated exposed sectors of transportation routes are endangered. On the remaining northern flank of the Alps west of the Reuss and in the remaining Valais, the avalanche prone locations are found on steep slopes in all aspects above approximately 2000 m. There is little expectation of natural avalanches. In all regions of this danger level, even single backcountry skiers and freeriders can easily trigger avalanches. Extensive experience in assessing avalanche dangers, as well as great caution, are essential. TREND FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY On Monday it will be quite sunny in northern regions, amid foehn winds. In southern regions as well as in the west in the afternoon, some snowfall is expected. Moderate to strong southwesterly winds will prevail. On Tuesday it will be variable. The avalanche danger will gradually subside.