TUESDAY, December 4th Good Morning. This is Doug Chabot with the Gallatin National Forest Avalanche Advisory issued on Tuesday, December 4th at 7:30 a.m. This advisory doesnt apply to operating ski areas. AVALANCHE WARNING The Gallatin National Forest Avalanche Center is issuing a Backcountry Avalanche Warning for the southern Gallatin and southern Madison Ranges, the Lionhead area near West Yellowstone, the mountains around Cooke City and the Washburn Range in northern Yellowstone National Park. New snow over the last 48 hours was deposited on an extremely weak snowpack. Today the avalanche danger is HIGH on all slopes. Areas of unstable snow exist. Natural and human triggered avalanches are likely. Avalanche terrain including avalanche runout zones should be avoided. MOUNTAIN WEATHER Is this global warming or global insanity? It was 4 degrees in Bozeman on Saturday, now its 41! Besides the warm temperatures its been hammering precipitation in our southern mountains along with southwesterly ridgetop winds blowing strong at 30-50 mph. Snow line is at 7,000 feet and since yesterday morning 7-8 inches of dense snow has fallen in the Bridger Range while the southern Madison and Gallatin Ranges has been hit with 12-16 inches of glop. Cooke City, never one to be left out, also got a foot of new snow. Today winds will blow 30-40 mph from the west as the southern mountains get another 2-4 inches of snow during the day. SNOWPACK AND AVALANCHE DISCUSSION The southern Gallatin and Madison Range, the Lionhead area near West Yellowstone, the mountains around Cooke City and the Washburn Range:: The Yellowstone Club is reporting a significant avalanche cycle this morning. I imagine its very widespread since conditions only get worse the further south you go. The Big Sky Ski Patrol reported natural avalanches in spots where theyve never seen them beforerollovers in the trees along with a 2-3 foot crown on a road cut. Additionally, the Yellowstone Club reported widespread natural avalanches below 8,500 feet on slopes as low-angled as 28 degrees. Activity like this is a HUGE red flag that avalanche terrain is unstable. Further south in the Madison Range, Carrot basin recorded 2.5 inches of SWE with 16 of snowa huge 24 hour dump! The mountains outside West Yellowstone and Cooke City also saw impressive SWE accumulations of 1.5 2 inches of water which translated into 10-12 inches of snow. The problem is that all this weight is creating widespread instability. It fell onto varying layers of faceted, weaker snow which are now avalanching. Some of these facets formed at the snow surface during the cold, clear weather last week, while others are thick layers of cupped, angular, depth hoar grains underlying the entire snowpack. Either situation is bad for backcountry travel. I am particularly concerned about the southern Madison Range since last week I got to see first hand how thin and weak the snowpack was. A huge snow load is definitely creating widespread, dangerous conditions. For today, the avalanche danger is HIGH on all slopes. Today is the first day of our daily avalanche advisories. With an avalanche warning in place, I recommend you follow our lead by being extra cautious as you travel in the backcountry. The avalanche danger ramped up noticeably in the last 48 hoursits a totally different world out there compared to the blower powder you choked on last week.