This is archived as a reference for a fatal incident which occurred on this day. The incident is not technically within the rather small area covered by the Forest Service center, but this should still be representative of conditions. It should also be the forecast somebody planning such a trip would read. Avalanche Forecast for 2021-02-03 06:45 EXPIRED ON February 4, 2021 @ 6:45 am Published on February 3, 2021 @ 6:45 am Issued by Aaron Beverly - Mount Shasta Avalanche Center Bottom Line Avalanche danger is moderate. Human triggered avalanches are possible near and above treeline. The storm is breaking. Two to four inches of snow may fall this morning, but expect clearer, drier, sunnier weather for the next several days. Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slab Aspect/Elevation: W -> N -> SE Likelihood: Possible Size: Large As you transition from near treeline to above treeline regions, be cautious around leeward terrain. Cornice breaks and small wind slab avalanches were seen yesterday along steep, north facing ridgelines. There is still some snow available for transport and a few more inches on the way. Slabs could continue to build. Human triggered avalanches are possible. It is sometimes difficult to determine near treeline terrain from above treeline terrain. The main concern is above treeline, but pay attention as you ascend, as conditions get colder, and as snow becomes lighter. There may be isolated areas in near treeline regions where wind slabs have formed. Forecast Discussion Below and near treeline areas could present knee-wrenching ski conditions. A range of wet snow, breakable rain crusts, dust-on-crust, and sloughy conditions may be encountered as you ascend into the alpine. Forecasted snow totals did not seem to materialize over the last 24 hours. About an inch of snow fell at the Old Ski Bowl weather station. Snow settled 2 inches. Temperatures averaged 21 ºF. West/northwest winds were mostly moderate, averaging 18 mi/hr and gusting up to 55. Over the last 3 days, the Old Ski Bowl has received about 8 inches of new snow, most of which occurred during near freezing temperatures, meaning that the snow was moist as it fell. Temperatures have since dropped to a low of 12 deg F, no doubt locking up that moist snow. The snow from last week's storm has settled, has a right-side-up configuration and is well bonded to the pre-01/26/21 melt-freeze crust. Wet snow and rain-runneled, breakable crusts dominated snow surfaces yesterday on a tour up to Gray Rock Lakes to do a snow survey. Above 6,000 ft, the snowpack firmed up and had about an inch of light snow on top. Some large cornices had formed along north facing ridgelines. A couple of small D1 wind slab avalanches had occurred, probably triggered by cornice breaks.